The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. The consensus map is based on the ratings from Cook Political Report,Split Ticketand Sabato's Crystal Ball. If another vacancy occurs in other Class 2 or Class 3 Senate seats, that state might require a special election to take place during the 118th Congress, possibly concurrently with the other 2024 Senate elections. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. And I havent gotten to that point yet., I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. Others were more firm. Congressman Mike Gallagher (WI-08), former Congressman Sean Duffy (2011-2019), Congressman Bryan Steil (WI-01), and businessman Scott Mayer[151] are seen as potential Republican challengers.[152]. On May 14, 2021, Fischer announced she is seeking reelection, despite previously declaring an intention to retire. | Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) said that I think Im gonna run for re-election, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said shes made it very clear shes running again, and Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) said running again is my goal. -webkit-columns: 3; Gillibrand is running for a third full term. Independent ratings for AZ, ME, and VT only, Place the map on your website with this code. Spartz eyes Senate run in 2024 as Braun pursues gov race", "McCormick hints at run for Indiana governor, while other Democrats still mum", "What's next for Indy Mayor Joe Hogsett? Against that backdrop, at least eight members of Chuck Schumers caucus are agonizing over whether to run again, and a couple hail from states that may be lost to the GOP if the incumbent bows out. U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024. [34][35], A third Democratic House member, Barbara Lee, reportedly told members of the Congressional Black Caucus in January that she would also run for Senate. Representatives Barbara Lee,[21] Katie Porter,[24] and Adam Schiff[81] have announced that they are running for the seat. @media screen and (max-width: 892px) { Additionally, California's top-two primary system may allow two Democrats to advance to the general election, a scenario that played out in the 2016 and 2018 Senate races. Here's where the Senate map stands 18 months before Election Day 2024. Early action electrifies 2024 Senate battle - POLITICO Elections Early action electrifies 2024 Senate battle Senators are announcing retirements and reelection campaigns. [42][114], Three-term Democrat Jon Tester was narrowly re-elected in 2018 with 50.3% of the vote. Sen. Kyrsten Sinema changed her affiliation from Democrat to independent after the 2022 elections. And this is not the place for that announcement. Email us. Two-term Republican Deb Fischer was re-elected in 2018 with 57.7% of the vote. [119], One-term Democrat Jacky Rosen was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote. Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin, perhaps the most vulnerable senator in 2024, has not yet announced his intentions to run for re-election. 559: V: Apr.18-19. ", "Cruz control: Texas Republican keeps his distance from 2024 White House hunt", "Dallas Democrat Colin Allred ponders Senate bid against Ted Cruz", "Romney, now a GOP maverick, undecided on future in politics", "Should Mitt Romney run for reelection in 2024? [133], Three-term Democrat Bob Casey Jr., was re-elected in 2018 with 55.7% of the vote. However, Politico pointed out that the 2016 election had an "early and prohibitive frontrunner" in Kamala Harris while the 2024 election has no clear frontrunner, and thus considered the 2024 election to be the first truly open California Senate race in 32 years. [112], Three-term Democrat Amy Klobuchar was re-elected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. This week, Rep. Alex Mooney (R-W.V.) Since the time she joined forces with the NAACP to become her high school's first Black cheerleader, Barbara Lee's progressive leadership has been shaped by a lifetime of organizing. At least nine Democratic-held seats in competitive states will be up in 2024 Arizona ( Kyrsten Sinema ), Michigan ( Debbie Stabenow ), Minnesota ( Amy Klobuchar ), Montana ( Jon Tester ),. Time will tell if it proves to be insurmountable. She confirmed that she would stay in the race even if Feinstein chose to run for another term. Think we're missing something? Tech: Matt Latourelle Ryan Burch Kirsten Corrao Beth Dellea Travis Eden Tate Kamish Margaret Kearney Eric Lotto Joseph Sanchez. The latest coverage of the 2024 presidential, House and Senate elections. 0. Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.) said hes putting all the pieces together to seek a third term. During this presidential election year, the President of the United States and Vice President will be elected. t. e. The 2024 United States Senate election in New York will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. I feel great. (ret.) An updated analysis of each race can be found here ($). #HowBlackWomenLead #BlackWomenMatter #BLEE4Senate @BWOPAPACEndorsed (Quote tweet)", "Republicans are still trying to rile up their base by targeting Nancy Pelosi", "Warren backs Porter in California Senate primary", "Feinstein, 89, Faces Pressure on 2024 as Porter Enters Race", "Pelosi to back Schiff in Calif. Senate race if Feinstein doesn't run", "B'Shalom: Election 2024 Endorsements and Announcements", "The Democratic Plot To Take Down Their Impeachment Hero", "Three more California House Democrats are supporting Adam Schiff's bid for Senate, further bolstering a large list of Hill endorsements", "Nancy Pelosi endorses Adam Schiff for Senate seat from California if Sen. Dianne Feinstein doesn't run", "They know the way from Sacramento to L.A.", "Defending Democracy And Other Things: Adam Schiff runs for U.S. Senate", "California IATSE Council Endorses Adam Schiff for U.S. Senate", "Business Manager's Message April 2023: Why Politics Matter", Fepbrina Keivaulqe Autiameineire (NPP) for Senate, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_Senate_election_in_California&oldid=1152592712, United States Senate elections in California, Short description with empty Wikidata description, Pages using multiple image with auto scaled images, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, Raji Rab, commercial pilot and perennial candidate, Eric Early, attorney and perennial candidate, James Bradley, healthcare executive, candidate for U.S. Senate in, Peter Liu, entrepreneur and candidate for, Mark Meuser, attorney and runner-up for U.S. Senate in, Fepbrina Keivaulqe Autiameineire, nonprofit director, This page was last edited on 1 May 2023, at 04:49. Results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. EST and aggregated from the most recent polls from the sources listed in the methodology section below. [129] State Senator Tracy Potter is also thinking of running. Schwarzenegger is a Republican, but media speculated that he might run as an independent candidate. [47] The expensive nature of the race has led media sources to speculate that a wealthy candidate may decide to launch a self-funded campaign, akin to Rick Caruso's campaign in the 2022 Los Angeles mayoral election. if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["kyT8O"]={},window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].embedDeltas={"100":486,"200":443,"300":421,"400":421,"500":400,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":400},window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-kyT8O"),window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("kyT8O"==b)window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; Communications: Alison Graves Carley Allensworth Abigail Campbell Sarah Groat Erica Shumaker Caitlin Vanden Boom Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. Incumbent five-term Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein was first elected in a 1992 special election, defeating Republican incumbent John Seymour. 2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. Attorney Eric Early[82], educator Denice Gary-Pandol[83], insurance agent Peter Liu[84], and U.S. Army veteran Barack Mandela[85] are the Republican candidates to declare their candidacies for the seat. .split-cols-c-list { And the 2024 Senate race is no exception. Three United States Senators are not seeking re-election to their U.S. Senate seats (not including those who left office early): !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r. Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing . Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. Senate following the election. [93], Two-term Democrat Mazie Hirono was re-elected in 2018 with 71.2% of the vote. Its too early to make those types of decisions, Cardin said. 43%. 33 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve 6-year terms in the U.S. Congress from January 3, 2025, to January 3, 2031, and one special election will be held to complete an unexpired term ending January 3, 2027. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 Senate forecast. Am I undecided? [109], Representatives Bill Huizenga and Lisa McClain, former Representative Peter Meijer, state Senator Ruth Johnson, 2022 gubernatorial candidate Kevin Rinke, and former Detroit Chief of Police James Craig[110] are also considered possible Republican candidates. Republicans seeking a Senate majority in the 2024 election have one clear early advantage: an unusually favorable map. The last elections for this group of senators were in 2018, except for those elected in a. Sinema was elected as a Democrat and switched to being an independent in December 2022. By default, all three are counted with the Democrats, as that best reflects the current situation. Margin; WY: John Barrasso: R: R+43.4: WV: Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. ", "Katie Porter and the 'bad boss' problem", "California Senate race sets up clash of titans", "California's Crowded Senate Primary Race Is Set to Be Most Expensive in History", "Porter rakes in $1.3M in first 24 hours of Senate bid", "PACs poised to supercharge California Senate campaign", "The California Senate Race Begins With a Scuffle Over Candidates' Progressive Bona Fides", "Barbara Lee joins growing Democratic field to claim Feinstein's Senate seat", "Feinstein's absence puts focus on Newsom's 2020 promise to appoint a Black woman senator", "Can Barbara Lee Win A Tough Senate Race? CNN Indiana GOP Sen. Mike Braun filed paperwork on Wednesday to run for governor, a move that will trigger an open seat race to replace him come 2024. Two-term Republican John Barrasso was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. [2][3][4] Another Republican, Ben Sasse, resigned early to accept a position as president of the University of Florida; the governor of Nebraska appointed Pete Ricketts as the state's interim senator and a special election will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections to fill the seat for the remainder of the term. Social worker Christina Khalil and Roselle Park Mayor Joe Signorello have announced primary challenges against Menendez. [99], Democratic consultant David Costello has announced he is challenging King. Special elections during the preceding Congress. Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. Brown is one of three Democratic senators up for re-election in states that Donald Trump won in both 2016 and 2020, alongside . [147], Four-term Democrat Maria Cantwell was re-elected in 2018 with 58.3% of the vote. Sen. Sherrod Brown is the only Democrat to win a nonjudicial statewide race in Ohio over the past decade, so the big question for 2024 is whether he can . Customize your map by changing one or more states. The current 2024 Senate ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. [33], Two weeks later, Porter was joined by another Democratic member of the House, Adam Schiff, who said he had consulted with Feinstein before entering the race. because some [Republicans] will lose. Former Lieutenant Governor (2003-2007), former chair of the Republican National Committee, and Republican nominee for the Senate in 2006, Michael Steele is also seen as a potential candidate. As with any other 2024 state, you can use the Map Color Palette or rotate through the colors by clicking on the map. I feel like Im accomplishing something. Use the buttons below the map to share it on social media or embed it into a web page. The chart below shows historical partisan breakdown information for the chamber. It's rated a toss-up and is one of nine key Senate battlegrounds, according to The Cook . Still, Democrats best 2024 pick-up opportunities are probably Texas and Florida not exactly fertile ground. The 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Virginia. There was also speculation that Feinstein might face opposition within the Democratic Party as she did in 2018, when she was challenged by fellow Democrat Kevin de Len and defeated him by an unexpectedly narrow margin. Chip in to support her", "Bay Area leaders have two clear favorites in California Senate race", "Rep. Barbara Lee launches campaign for US Senate", "S.F. Calvin Coolidge's (R) first term began in August 1923 after the death of President Warren Harding (R), who was first elected in 1920. [145][142], Three-term independent Bernie Sanders was re-elected in 2018 with 67.4% of the vote. Incumbent: Democrat Joe Manchin. } And holding the majority this fall in a tough environment could help keep some incumbents happier about running for reelection. (Rankings are based on. By Nathaniel Rakich. On May 1, 2023, he announced that he would not be seeking . 4 leader. Rosen is running for a second term. California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election. Ruben Gallego is a Democratic Party candidate for office. That panels chair, Robert Menendez of New Jersey, said its a long time from here to 2024, but I have every intention of running again. Manchin, Sanders and Tester also all lead committees. [106], Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. So how do they differ? Romney has expressed uncertainty over his political future following his votes to convict Trump on impeachment, and his indicated that he will announce a decision on reelection by mid-April 2023. Will he seek a third term? Of his future, Manchin said: What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now., Tester vowed that I will not make a decision until sometime early next year and that he is truly undecided but feels very positively about my chances., People say, thats bullshit, youve already made up your mind, Tester said. Im definitely running., Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) in an interview. Youre not my vector for an announcement.. | Jim Pillen will select his replacement", "The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024", "Democrats kept the Senate this year, but 2024 may be harder", "VICTOR JOECKS: A 2022 paradox: NV GOP disappoints and outperforms its peers", "7 Republicans who may run against Nevada Sen. Jacky Rosen", "New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand launches reelection bid", "Zeldin keeps run against Gillibrand for U.S. Senate on the table", "Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand tells donors Andrew Cuomo may run against her", "Kristin Hedger FEC Statement of Candidacy", https://bismarcktribune.com/news/election2010/potter-poised-to-enter-senate-race/article_71882ab0-111b-11df-9d5d-001cc4c002e0.html, https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-aligned-businessman-bernie-moreno-joins-gop-fight-for-ohios-2024-us-senate-race/ar-AA1a0wXD, https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3978937-senate-rankings-here-are-the-5-seats-most-likely-to-flip/, "LaRose cruises to GOP nomination for secretary of state", "Dave McCormick considering 2024 Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race; report", "GOP sets its sights on Bob Casey's Senate seat", "Where does Dr. Oz and his reputation go from here? Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., is "not planning" to issue a primary challenge for Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y.'s seat in the Senate, which is up for reelection in 2024. 33 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve 6-year terms in the U.S. Congress from January 3, 2025, to January 3, 2031, and one special election will be held to complete an unexpired term ending . That makes for a tough cycle. Everybodys going to have to make their own decision. Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. Since then, Democrats have avoided the kind of Senate exodus the GOP faced this year when five of its members called it quits. The GOP Is Trying To Tilt Montana's Senate Race In Its Favor. The 2024 United States Senate election in Maryland will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Maryland.The Democratic and Republican primary elections will be held on May 14, 2024. Heinrich is running for a third term. I hope some of them do because I want to keep Catherine Cortez Masto and Gov. And this is not the place for that announcement, said Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island. Am I undecided? Incumbents up for election in these three states are independents. One-term independent Kyrsten Sinema was elected in 2018 as a Democrat with 50.0% of the vote. In addition to Klobuchar, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York said shes really excited to seek another term and Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts is running for reelection, according to spokesperson Alex Sarabia. Republicans took over the House following November's midterm elections. Candidates have. California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing candidates . There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Two-term Republican Ted Cruz was re-elected in 2018 with 50.9% of the vote. [150], Two-term Democrat Tammy Baldwin was re-elected in 2018 with 55.4% of the vote. Apr. Hirono is running for a third term. 2024 United States Senate election in California. April 21:No changes. State Current incumbent Party 2020 Pres. Alex Wong/Getty Images, The real question is, is what do we wake up to on November 9, or 10th? Here's Why She Thinks It's Possible", "Rep. Barbara Lee has spent her career as a champion for justice. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. If some things are not yet settled, and then who wins or loses in Nevada. January 24, 2023: Initial Ratings. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2024 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2025 Senate based on those predictions. 2020 Electoral Votes [3] A moderate Democrat who unseated incumbent Republican James Rogan in 2000, Schiff's profile rose significantly during the presidency of Donald Trump, owing to Schiff's role as a lead impeachment manager in the first impeachment of Donald Trump, his service on the January 6 Committee, and his frequent appearances on MSNBC. And Ill probably make a decision early next year. West Virginia. He is being challenged by Republican IT professional Raymond McKay.[56]. (CNN) The 2024 Senate map presents a daunting challenge for Democrats. The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. I think thats the responsible thing to do, said Sen. Angus King (I-Maine), who caucuses with Democrats and picked up a Republican-held seat in 2012. The map and table below shows what seats are up for election and the current incumbent in each race. 2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast, Cook Political Report 2024 Senate Ratings, Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024. ", "Progressive Rep. Katie Porter launches bid for Feinstein's California Senate seat", "Lou Correa would be a much better Senate candidate than far-left Katie Porter", "Column: Feinstein won't step down early. And will they try again. Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents - POLITICO Of the 33 Senate seats up for election next term, 23 are held by Democrats. Representatives Matt Rosendale and Ryan Zinke have expressed interest in challenging Tester. Sinema said she would not caucus with Republicans and kept the committee assignments she had as a member of the Democratic caucus.[4]. Here's where the Senate map stands 18 months before Election Day 2024. [140][141], One-term Republican Mitt Romney was elected in 2018 with 62.6% of the vote. Democratic Sen. Ben Cardin of Maryland is expected to announce his retirement after serving three terms, opening a rare vacancy in the Senate ahead of the 2024 election. Then-President Trump won the state by a whopping 39. [148] However, on October 5, 2022, Manchin said, "What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now," and was watching the 2022 elections before making a decision.
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